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Michael Keaton vs. Eddie Redmayne for Best Actor.

Posted in Explosive News and Results with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 26, 2015 by vincentloy

Looking from all the recently held major film awards in Hollywood, I am almost 100% certain that Julianne Moore will win the best actress, J.K. Simmons to win best supporting actor and Patricia Arquette for best supporting actress in the coming Academy Awards. They literally swept almost all the awards in their respective categories in the current Hollywood awards season before all culminates into the prestigious Academy (Oscars) Awards. No question on their worthiness as their performances this year easily out-shined the rest in their respective categories. Right now, they should start preparing a nice shelf to display their coming Oscars trophy. They are locked for it.

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(From left: Julianne Moore, J.K. Simmons and Patricia Arquette with their SAG trophies)

What sets to be the most exciting race now is the Best Actor category! Looking from the current statistics, Michael Keaton is a clear front-runner in the race with over 20 best actor prizes awarded to him earlier for his critically-lauded performance in ‘Birdman’ film. I didn’t watch the film, hence I couldn’t see it myself whether he is really that good. Right now, I will just stick to the majority and agreed that he is excellent in that movie. If not, how can he won that much of best actor trophies in the current Hollywood awards season. His most distinguished win are at the Golden Globes Award 2015 for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy and Best Leading Actor at Critics’ Choice Award 2015.

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(Left, Michael and right, Eddie goes on an exciting race for Best Actor this year)

However, right now, I’m sure he is no longer that confident to continue his winning streak in the last two approaching major film awards; British Academy of Film Awards (BAFTA) and of course, the Academy Awards (Oscars). Why? Eddie Redmayne is now racing up to pose a huge threat to Michael. Eddie Redmayne’s performance as the physicist Stephen Hawking in the film ‘The Theory of Everything’ had already won him Golden Globes Award 2015 for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama. Despite losing Critics’ Choice to Michael, he got back to the race by winning the Screen Actors Guild Awards (SAG) yesterday. The SAG Awards are always seen as a strong precursor to the coming Oscars, and with Eddie winning over Michael for the Best Actor in SAG, then this is going to be very exciting.

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(Eddie Redmayne with his SAG Trophy for Best Leading Actor)

Michael could no longer perfect his collection of Best Actor trophies right now. Eddie took the Screen Actors Guild Award, which is voted by about 160 000 members of actors, performers, journalists and radio personalities across the world. That’s a lot of people there. This may hint out that in Oscars, both is on neck-to-neck battle.

Who you are picking for Best Actor? I personally chose Eddie Redmayne because first, I watched his brilliant performance in that film, and secondly, he truly amazed me with his phenomenal handling of this role as Stephen Hawking. This role is more challenging (both physically and mentally) than Michael’s Birdman role in almost all angles. So, I will go for Eddie if I have the qualification to vote. Right now, his chance for winning at BAFTA is quite high (since he is a British and is easily favored by voters back in his home ground). As for Oscars, Michael Keaton still leads but Eddie is not far behind. Michael 60%, and Eddie 40%. As for the other nominees, sorry. Not to be rude, but you guys are nominated just to fill in the blank spaces. Wait…maybe Academy will give us another major shock this year (just like when they announced nominees for Best Animated Film when The Lego Movie isn’t even nominated) by giving Best Actor trophy to the other nominees. Who knows? Haha…

So, the current analysis on who will win the Oscars for best actor is like this:

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Michael Keaton, Birdman – 45%

Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything – 35%

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game – 10%

Steve Carrell, Foxcatcher – 5%

Bradley Cooper, American Sniper – 5%

Wouldn’t want to give Steve and Bradley 0% eventhough I wished to actually. But since they are nominated, they deserved at least a bit of percentage in my analysis of chances of winning. If Academy wants to deliver another surprise, then it would be Benedict Cumberbatch. I like his performance in ‘The Imitation Game’, but still not as fascinating as Eddie or Michael. Before that, many already predicted Michael as the hot favourite, now Eddie also successfully raised his Oscars’ chances. Now, we will just wait and see the result in the coming BAFTA and Academy Awards.

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(Images in this post are from various sources throughout the world wide web)

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Winning statistics in running for Oscar this Sunday

Posted in Miscellaneous with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2011 by vincentloy

There are many accolades, awards and guilds presented before the most anticipating Academy Awards which will ends the chances for films released the previous year to be honored. Many have not even been heard before, but still these smaller awards still exist, and by counting the awards received by each Oscar nominees earlier for this year, we can check out their winning percentage for this upcoming 83rd Academy Awards. It is not 100% correct, as it is just an analysis on statistic.

Best Picture

Black Swan – won 3 awards of the similar category – 5.9%

The Fighter – won 0 awards of the similar category – 0%

Inception – won 5 awards of the similar category – 9.8%

The Kids Are All Right – won 1 award of the similar category – 1.9%

The King’s Speech – won 6 awards of the similar category – 11.7%

127 Hours – won 2 awards of the similar category – 3.9%

The Social Network – won 30 awards of the similar category – 58.8%

Toy Story 3 – won 2 awards of the similar category – 3.9%

True Grit – won 0 awards of the similar category – 0%

Winter’s Bone – won 2 awards of the similar category – 3.9%

Analysis: From the statistic above, it seems that The Social Network has higher chance of winning Best Picture of Oscar. However, many of these awards are presented much earlier even before The King’s Speech received critical acclaim.


Best Actor in Leading Role

Javier Bardem from Biutiful – won 2 awards of the similar category – 5.2%

Jeff Bridges from True Grit – won 0 award of the similar category – 0%

Jesse Eisenberg from The Social Network – won 6 awards of the similar category – 15.7%

Colin Firth from The King’s Speech – won 25 awards of the similar category – 65%

James Franco from 127 Hours – won 5 awards of the similar category – 13.1%

Analysis: Jeff Bridges won last year, so he won’t be winning this year. Colin Firth is the top favourite while dark horse goes to Jesse Eisenberg. James Franco is the host of the awards, so it would be a bit awkward for him to get the award.


Best Actress in Leading Role

Annette Bening from The Kids Are All Right – won 7 awards of the similar category – 19.4%

Nicole Kidman from Rabbit Hole – won 0 awards of the similar category – 0%

Jennifer Lawrence from Winter’s Bone – won 5 awards of the similar category – 13.8%

Natalie Portman from Black Swan – won 23 awards of the similar category – 63.8%

Michelle Williams from Blue Valentine – won 1 award of the similar category – 2.7%

Analysis: The analysis for this category is similar to that of Best Actor in Leading Role. Very high chance that Natalie Portman will win for her breakthrough performance in Black Swan. Annette Bening is the dark horse here.


Best Actor in Supporting Role

Christian Bale from The Fighter – won 28 awards of the similar category – 75.6%

John Hawkes from Winter’s Bone – won 2 awards of the similar category – 5.4%

Jeremy Renner from The Town – won 0 award of the similar category – 0%

Mark Ruffalo from The Kids Are All Right – won 2 awards of the similar category – 5.4%

Geoffrey Rush from The King’s Speech – won 5 awards of the similar category – 13.5%

Analysis: It seems that Christian Bale will take home this award with over 75% of probability. Geoffrey Rush is a less-attacking dark horse here.


Best Actress in Supporting Role

Amy Adams from The Fighter – won 2 awards of the similar category – 5.7%

Helena Bonham Carter from The King’s Speech – won 3 awards of the similar category – 8.5%

Melissa Leo from The Fighter – won 13 awards of the similar category – 37.1%

Hailee Steinfeld from True Grit – won 11 awards of the similar category – 31.4%

Jacki Weaver from Animal Kingdom – won 6 awards of the similar category – 17.1%

Analysis: Melissa Leo outshined Amy Adams from the same film, while Hailee is the dark horse, racing near to get the award. However, I think Hailee (15 years old) is too young for the award, as what Oscar usually thinks.


Best Directing

Daron Aronofsky for Black Swan – won 4 awards of the similar category – 10.8%

David O. Russell for The Fighter – won 1 award of the similar category – 2.7%

Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech – won 4 awards of the similar category – 10.8%

David Fincher for The Social Network – won 28 awards of the similar category – 75.6%

Joel Coen and Ethan Coen for True Grit – won 0 award of the similar category – 0%

Analysis: David Fincher is going to get this award probably for his brilliant directing of The Social Network. Two less-attacking dark horses; Daron Aronofsky and Tom Hooper.

Best Original Screenplay – Fight of either The King’s Speech or Inception.

Best Adapted Screenplay – Over 90% that Aaron Sorkin’s The Social Network would win this.